Artikel

Testing the quantity–quality model of fertility: Estimation using unrestricted family size models

We examine the relationship between child quantity and quality. Motivated by the theoretical ambiguity regarding the sign of the marginal effects of additional siblings on children's outcomes, our empirical model allows for an unrestricted relationship between family size and child outcomes. We find that the conclusion in Black, Devereux, and Salvanes (2005) of no family size effect does not hold after relaxing their linear specification in family size. We find nonzero effects of family size in ordinary least squares estimation with controls for confounding characteristics like birth order and in instrumental variables estimation instrumenting family size with twin births. Estimation using a unrestricted specification for the quality–quantity relationship yields substantial family size effects. This finding suggests that social policies that provide incentives for fertility should account for spillover effects on existing children.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Quantitative Economics ; ISSN: 1759-7331 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2016 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 157-192 ; New Haven, CT: The Econometric Society

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Quantity-quality model of fertility
family size
birth order
nonlinearity
instrumental variables

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mogstad, Magne
Wiswall, Matthew
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
The Econometric Society
(wo)
New Haven, CT
(wann)
2016

DOI
doi:10.3982/QE322
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:24 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Mogstad, Magne
  • Wiswall, Matthew
  • The Econometric Society

Entstanden

  • 2016

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