Arbeitspapier

On the origins of the multinational premium

How do foreign direct investment (FDI) dynamics relate to the risk premium of a firm? To answer this question, we compare the stock returns of US firms with different FDI and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) exposure to study the evolution of stock returns as firms expand into foreign markets. We document three empirical regularities. First, there are cross-sectional risk premia associated with both multinational activity and mergers and acquisitions. Second, firm-level stock returns decline when a firm undertakes M&A activity and with merger deepening. Third, future multinational acquirers already have higher stock returns compared with domestic non-acquirers prior to entering foreign markets, indicating that cross-sectional returns differentials are driven by selection based on common unobserved firm characteristics. We find that CEOs play a role in explaining the relationship between firms' risk premia and foreign expansion. To rationalize these facts, we develop a dynamic model in which management attitudes shape the relationship between firm characteristics, selection into FDI, and risk premia.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 21-20

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Multinational Firms; International Business
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
Thema
multinational firms
mergers and acquisitions
management
stock returns

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Fillat, José
Garetto, Stefania
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
(wo)
Boston, MA
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.29412/res.wp.2021.20
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Fillat, José
  • Garetto, Stefania
  • Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

Entstanden

  • 2021

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