Arbeitspapier

Export Take-Offs and Acceleration: Unpacking Cross-Sector Linkages in the Evolution of Comparative Advantage

The transition into non-traditional export activities attracts important policy and academic attention. Using international trade data, we explore how alternative linkages relate to the take-off and acceleration of export industries. Concretely, we run a horse-race among alternative Marshallian linkages across sectors: input-output relations, technology and labor. Technology has a predictive power depending on the specification used. We consistently find, however, that export take-offs are more likely to occur in sectors that are upstream to already competitive export industries. Our findings, which are mostly driven by developing economies, are consistent with Albert Hirschman’s 60-year-old view that the forces behind upstream linkages fueled the growth of new competitive industries in the developing world.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7436

Classification
Wirtschaft
Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Empirical Studies of Trade
Subject
relatedness
comparative advantage
patents
labor
upstream
downstream

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bahar, Dany
Rosenow, Samuel
Stein, Ernesto
Wagner, Rodrigo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bahar, Dany
  • Rosenow, Samuel
  • Stein, Ernesto
  • Wagner, Rodrigo
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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