Arbeitspapier

Cross-border lending contagion in multinational banks

We study both theoretically and empirically the inter- dependence of lending decisions in different country branches of a multinational bank. First, we model a bank that delegates the management of its foreign unit to a local manager with non-transferable skills. The bank differs from other international investors due to a liquidity threshold which induces a depositor run and a regulatory action if attained. A separate channel of shock propagation exists since lending decisions are influenced by delegation and precautionary motives. This can entail “contagion”, i.e. parallel reactions of the loan volumes in both countries to the parent bank home country disturbance. Second, we look for the presence of lending contagion by panel regression methods in a large sample of multinational banks and their affiliates. We find that the majority of multinational banks behave in line with contagion effect. In addition, the presence of contagion seems to be related to the geographical location of subsidiaries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 807

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies; Capacity
Subject
delegation
diversification
lending contagion
Multinational bank
panel regression
Internationale Bank
Ausländische Tochtergesellschaft
Kreditgeschäft
Kreditrisiko
Ansteckungseffekt
Theorie
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Derviz, Alexis
Podpiera, Jirí
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2007

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Derviz, Alexis
  • Podpiera, Jirí
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2007

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