China's exchange rate impasse and the weak U.S. dollar

Arbeitspapier

In assessing Alexander Swoboda's great influence on economics, two themes stand out: the determinants of global inflation, particularly in the 1970s, and the choice of an exchange rate regime consistent with domestic monetary and fiscal policies. Although seemingly narrowly focused on China, our contribution to Alexander's fete straddles both themes. Since 2004, China has been backed into a situation where the renminbi is expected to go ever higher against the dollar, and this one-way bet has led to a loss of domestic monetary control. Combined with a more general flight from the U.S. dollar, the resulting monetary explosion in China contributes to the worldwide increase in primary commodity prices - with excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Working Paper ; No. 73

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Price Level; Inflation; Deflation ; Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination ; Foreign Exchange
• Subject: Inflation ; Exchange Rates ; Macro Policies ; Current Account Imbalances ; Renminbi ; Wechselkurs ; Aufwertung ; Leistungsbilanz ; Zahlungsbilanzungleichgewicht ; Inflation ; Geldpolitik ; China ; USA ; Welt

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): McKinnon, Ronald ; Schnabl, Gunther
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Universität Leipzig, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
• (where): Leipzig
• (when): 2008

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/45651
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET