Artikel

Causality between economic policy uncertainty and real housing returns in emerging economies: A cross-sample validation approach

This paper examines whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU) causes real housing returns in 8 emerging economies for which EPU data are available namely: Brazil, Chile, China, India, Ireland, Russia, South Africa and South Korea. Quarterly data were used for the analysis. The study uses cross-sample validation (CSV) Granger causality approach which obviates the need to partition the data into an in-sample and out-of-sample periods when limited data are available as in this study. Results based on the CSV full sample period indicate no evidence of economic policy uncertainty Granger causing real housing returns except for Chile and China. However, based on CSV rolling window results, there is evidence of time varying causality in all the countries except India. The implications of these findings are drawn.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Cogent Economics & Finance ; ISSN: 2332-2039 ; Volume: 6 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-16 ; Abingdon: Taylor & Francis

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Thema
economic policy uncertainty
housing returns
cross-sample validation causality
in-sample
post-sample
rolling window

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Aye, Goodness C.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Taylor & Francis
(wo)
Abingdon
(wann)
2018

DOI
doi:10.1080/23322039.2018.1473708
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Aye, Goodness C.
  • Taylor & Francis

Entstanden

  • 2018

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