Arbeitspapier

The costs and benefits of leaving the EU

What would be the economic effects of the UK leaving the European Union on living standards of British people? We focus on the effects of trade on welfare net of lower fiscal transfers to the EU. We use a standard quantitative static general equilibrium trade model with multiple sectors, countries and intermediates, as in Costinot and Rodriguez-Clare (2013). Static losses range between 1.13% and 3.09% of GDP, depending on the assumptions used in our counterfactual scenarios. Including dynamic effects could more than double such losses.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CFS Working Paper Series ; No. 472

Classification
Wirtschaft
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Economic Impacts of Globalization: General
Subject
Trade
European Union
welfare

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ottaviano, Gianmarco
Pessoa, João Paulo
Sampson, Thomas
Van Reenen, John
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2014

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ottaviano, Gianmarco
  • Pessoa, João Paulo
  • Sampson, Thomas
  • Van Reenen, John
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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