Arbeitspapier

Household debt and monetary policy: Revealing the cash-flow channel

We examine the cash-flow channel of monetary policy, i.e. the effect of monetary policy on spending when households hold debt linked to short-term rates such as adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs). Using registry-based data on Swedish households, we estimate substantial heterogeneity in consumption responses to a change in monetary policy through the cash-flow channel. Our findings imply that monetary policy has a stronger effect on real economic activity when households are highly indebted and have ARMs. For homeowners with a debt-to-income ratio of around 3 and ARMs, the estimated response is equivalent to a marginal propensity to consume of 0.5.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 342

Classification
Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Monetary Policy
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Subject
Monetary policy
consumption
household debt
variable interest rates
adjustable rate mortgages

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Flodén, Martin
Kilström, Matilda
Jósef Sigurdsson
Vestman, Roine
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Flodén, Martin
  • Kilström, Matilda
  • Jósef Sigurdsson
  • Vestman, Roine
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2017

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