Arbeitspapier

Foreign Exchange Market Interventions and the $-¥ Exchange Rate in the Long-Run

This paper tries to clarify the question of whether foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Bank of Japan are important for the dollar-yen exchange rate in the long run. Our strategy relies on a re-examination of the empirical performance of a monetary exchange rate model. This is basically not a new topic; however, we put our focus on two new questions. Firstly, does the consideration of periods of massive interventions in the foreign exchange market help to uncover a potential long-run relationship between the exchange rate and its fundamentals? Secondly, do Forex interventions support the adjustment towards a long-run equilibrium value? Our overall results suggest that taking periods of interventions into account within a monetary model does improve the goodness of fit of an identified long-run relationship to a significant degree. Furthermore, Forex interventions increase the speed of adjustment towards long-run equilibrium in some periods, particularly in periods of coordinated forex interventions. Our results indicate that only coordinated interventions seem to stabilize the dollar-yen exchange rate in a long-run perspective. This is a novel contribution to the literature.

ISBN
978-3-86788-484-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Ruhr Economic Papers ; No. 428

Classification
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Foreign Exchange
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
structural exchange rate models
cointegration
intervention analysis

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Beckmann, Joscha
Belke, Ansgar
Kühl, Michael
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (RWI)
(where)
Essen
(when)
2013

DOI
doi:10.4419/86788484
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Beckmann, Joscha
  • Belke, Ansgar
  • Kühl, Michael
  • Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (RWI)

Time of origin

  • 2013

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