Bericht

What drives office rents?

Banks have substantial exposures to commercial real estate (CRE). Rental prices are important for CRE companies' debt-service capacity, which in turn affects the risk of future bank losses. In this paper, we estimate error correction models (ECMs) to determine the main drivers of office rents in Oslo and to detect deviations in rents from their estimated long-run equilibrium. We find that employment and stock of offices are important explanatory variables. Moreover, our results show that rents have followed their estimated equilibrium closely and have re-adjusted quickly in periods of deviation.

ISBN
978-82-8379-130-3
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Memo ; No. 12/2019

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General
Subject
Rental prices
commercial real estate
financial stability

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bjørland, Christian
Hagen, Marius
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Norges Bank
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Bericht

Associated

  • Bjørland, Christian
  • Hagen, Marius
  • Norges Bank

Time of origin

  • 2019

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