Arbeitspapier

Household debt sustainability: what explains household non-performing loans? An empirical analysis

Sound household financial conditions are relevant for both financial and monetary stability. Therefore, we analyse household financial fragility in a sample of euro area countries with the aim to shed some light on the nature of the large debt increase accumulated in recent years. We focus on household arrears on payment obligations, which are one of the most direct measures of financial stress of the sector. The probability of falling into arrears is derived from a life-cycle type of model and is investigated empirically using a cross-section and time series approach. We analyse cointegration and model arrears within an errorcorrection framework. The results suggest that the financial conditions of households might become more vulnerable to adverse shocks in their income and wealth.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 570

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Subject
default
household debt sustainability
non-performing loans
Panel Cointegration
Private Verschuldung
Privater Haushalt
Schock
Einkommenseffekt
Vermögenseffekt
Theorie
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Rinaldi, Laura
Sanchis-Arellano, Alicia
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Rinaldi, Laura
  • Sanchis-Arellano, Alicia
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2006

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