Arbeitspapier

The macroeconomic implications of zero growth: A post-Keynesian approach

This paper tries to clarify some important aspects around the zero-growth discussion. Starting from an accounting perspective, we analyse the implications of zero growth and clarify the stability conditions of such an economy. This is complemented with a monetary circuit approach - which, like any model, has to respect the national income and financial accounting conventions. The latter allows us to show that a stationary economy, i.e an economy with zero net investment, is compatible with positive profits and interest rates. It is also argued that a stationary economy does not generate systemic financial instability, in the sense of rising or falling financial assets- or financial liabilities-income ratios, if the financial balances of each macroeconomic sector are zero. In order to analyse the dynamic stability of such an economy, we make use of an autonomous demand-led growth model driven by government expenditures. We show that a stable stationary state with zero growth, positive profits, and a positive interest rate is possible. However, the stable adjustment of government expenditure-capital and government debt-capital ratios to their long-run equilibrium values requires specific maxima for the propensity to consume out wealth and for the rate of interest, assuming a balanced government budget and zero retained earnings of the firm sector.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 169/2021

Classification
Wirtschaft
Sustainable Development
Environment and Growth
Capitalist Systems: General
Subject
Ecological macroeconomics
post-Keynesian economics
stationary-state economics
growth imperative

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hein, Eckhard
Jimenez, Valeria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hein, Eckhard
  • Jimenez, Valeria
  • Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Recht Berlin, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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