Artikel

The Japanese economy in crises: A time series segmentation study

The authors performed a comprehensive time series segmentation study on the 36 Nikkei Japanese industry indices from 1 January 1996 to 11 June 2010. From the temporal distributions of the clustered segments, we found that the Japanese economy never fully recovered from the extended 1997-2003 crisis, and responded to the most recent global financial crisis in five stages. Of these, the second and main stage affecting 21 industries lasted only 27 days, in contrast to the two-and-a-half-years-across-the-board recovery from the 1997-2003 financial crisis. We constructed the minimum spanning trees (MSTs) to visualize the Pearson cross correlations between Japanese industries over five macroeconomic periods: (i) 19971999 (Asian Financial Crisis), (ii) 20002002 (Technology Bubble Crisis), (iii) 20032006 (economic growth), (iv) 20072008 (Subprime Crisis), and (v) 20082010 (Lehman Brothers Crisis). In these MSTs, the Chemicals and Electric Machinery industries are consistently hubs. Finally, we present evidence from the segment-to-segment MSTs for flights to quality within the Japanese stock market

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal ; ISSN: 1864-6042 ; Volume: 6 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 2012-5 ; Pages: 1-81 ; Kiel: Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Subject
Japanese industries
macroeconomic cycle
financial crisis
economic recovery
financial time series
segmentation
clustering
cross correlations
minimal spanning tree

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cheong, Siew Ann
Fornia, Robert Paulo
Lee, Gladys Hui Ting
Kok, Jun Liang
Yim, Woei Shyr
Xu, Danny Yuan
Zhang, Yiting
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(where)
Kiel
(when)
2012

DOI
doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2012-5
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Cheong, Siew Ann
  • Fornia, Robert Paulo
  • Lee, Gladys Hui Ting
  • Kok, Jun Liang
  • Yim, Woei Shyr
  • Xu, Danny Yuan
  • Zhang, Yiting
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Time of origin

  • 2012

Other Objects (12)