Arbeitspapier

Terrorism and cabinet duration: An empirical analysis

We examine the relationship between terrorism and cabinet duration. Our data set includes more than 2,400 cabinets in over 150 countries in the period 1968-2002. We find a small, but significant effect of terrorism on the probability of government failure. Furthermore, we find that the impact of terrorism depends on the type of attack and is larger in case of more severe attacks. Marginal effect calculations show that the impact of terror on cabinet duration is larger than the impact of economic variables such as economic growth, but less than the impact of a civil war or a government crisis. Our results suggest that cabinets in countries with high levels of terrorism are particularly vulnerable to terrorist attacks.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: KOF Working Papers ; No. 181

Classification
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
International Relations and International Political Economy: Other
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Subject
terror
political stability
cabinet dissolution
Politische Gewalt
Dauer
Regierungswechsel
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gassebner, Martin
Jong-A-Pin, Richard
Mierau, Jochen O.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute
(where)
Zurich
(when)
2007

DOI
doi:10.3929/ethz-a-005502879
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gassebner, Martin
  • Jong-A-Pin, Richard
  • Mierau, Jochen O.
  • ETH Zurich, KOF Swiss Economic Institute

Time of origin

  • 2007

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