Arbeitspapier

Estimates of uncertainty around budget forecasts

We use past forecast errors to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget.

ISBN
978-0-642-74945-1
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Treasury Working Paper ; No. 2013-04

Classification
Wirtschaft
General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
Subject
Confidence intervals
forecast errors

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Clark, John
Gibbons, Caroline
Morrissey, Susan
Pooley, Joshua
Pye, Emily
Wilcox, Rhett
Willard, Luke
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Australian Government, The Treasury
(where)
Canberra
(when)
2013

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Clark, John
  • Gibbons, Caroline
  • Morrissey, Susan
  • Pooley, Joshua
  • Pye, Emily
  • Wilcox, Rhett
  • Willard, Luke
  • The Australian Government, The Treasury

Time of origin

  • 2013

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