Arbeitspapier

Military spending, armed conflict and economic growth in developing countries in the post-cold war ara

This paper re-examines the causal impact of military expenditure on growth in the presence of internal and external threats for the period 1990-2013 using data from 70 developing countries. We find that differences in methods, model specifications, and the underlying estimation sample partly explain why past studies have differed in terms of the true effect of military spending. Estimates based on both cross-sectional and panel methods indicate that military expenditure negatively affects economic growth during the post-Cold War era. However, the effect is insignificant in the cross-sectional OLS method and fixed effects model for the full sample and the low-income country sub-sample, respectively. Moreover, the effect of military spending on growth conditional upon conflict exposure is positive and significant across all specifications, albeit the result is specific to internal instead of external conflict.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CREDIT Research Paper ; No. 16/03

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
National Security and War
Subject
internal and external armed conflict
military expenditure
economic growth

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aziz, M. Nusrate
Asadullah, Mohammad Niaz
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The University of Nottingham, Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade (CREDIT)
(where)
Nottingham
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aziz, M. Nusrate
  • Asadullah, Mohammad Niaz
  • The University of Nottingham, Centre for Research in Economic Development and International Trade (CREDIT)

Time of origin

  • 2016

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