Money-based interest rate rules: lessons from German data

Arbeitspapier

The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. In the second part, it is shown that this type of inertial interest rate rule characterises the Bundesbank's monetary policy from 1979 to 1998 quite well. This result is robust to the use of real-time or ex post data and to the consideration of serially correlated errors. The main lesson is that, in addition to anchoring long-term inflation expectations, monetary targeting introduces inertia and history-dependence into the monetary policy rule. This is advantageous when private agents have forward-looking expectations and when the level of the output gap is subject to persistent measurement errors.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2007,06

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Central Banks and Their Policies ; Monetary Policy ; Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
• Subject: Monetary policy ; Taylor rule ; money growth targets ; history dependence ; Zinspolitik ; Regelgebundene Politik ; Geldmenge ; Geldpolitik ; Reaktionsfunktion ; Schätzung ; Deutschland

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Gerberding, Christina ; Seitz, Franz ; Worms, Andreas
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Deutsche Bundesbank
• (where): Frankfurt a. M.
• (when): 2007

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19683
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET