Arbeitspapier

Exponential Time Trends in a Fractional Integration Model

This paper introduces a new modelling approach that incorporates nonlinear, exponential deterministic terms into a fractional integration model. The proposed model is based on a specific version of Robinson's (1994) tests and is more general that standard time series models, which only allow for linear trends. Montecarlo simulations show that it performs well in finite sample. Three empirical examples confirm that the suggested specification captures the properties of the data adequately.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10774

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Subject
exponential time trends
fractional integration
Montecarlo simulations

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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