Arbeitspapier

Government bond risk premia and the cyclicality of fiscal policy

We introduce a specification of habit formation featuring non-separability between consumption and leisure into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model. The model can be estimated with standard Bayesian techniques and the bond pricing implications are evaluated using higher-order approximations. The model is able to reproduce a sizeable risk premium on long-term bonds and the cyclicality of fiscal policy has an impact on the bond premium that is quantitatively important. Technology, government spending, and mark-up shocks are the main drivers of the time-variation in bond premia.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1411

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
bond risk premium
DSGE Models
Fiscal Policy
monetary policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Christoffel, Kai
Jaccard, Ivan
Kilponen, Juha
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Christoffel, Kai
  • Jaccard, Ivan
  • Kilponen, Juha
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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