Arbeitspapier

Does Household Borrowing Reduce the Trade Balance? Evidence from Developing and Developed Countries

We examine the dynamic impact of household borrowing on the trade balance using data from 33 developing countries and 36 developed countries over the 1980-2017 period. Our findings suggest that the impact of household borrowing on the trade balance is by and large negative, both in the short and long run. We show that household borrowing’s adverse effects on the trade balance are more pronounced but less persistent in developing countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9123

Classification
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
household borrowing
trade balance
dynamic effects
panel ARDL model

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Xu, Can
Jacobs, Jan
de Haan, Jakob
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Xu, Can
  • Jacobs, Jan
  • de Haan, Jakob
  • Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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