Arbeitspapier
Comparing the accuracy of default predictions in the rating industry: The case of Moody's vs. S&P
We consider 1927 borrowers from 54 countries who had a credit rating by both Moody's and S&P as of the end of 1998, and their subsequent default history up to the end of 2002. Viewing bond ratings as predicted probabilities of default, we show that it is unlikely that both agencies are well calibrated, and that the ranking of the agencies depends crucially on the way in which probability predictions are compared.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Technical Report ; No. 2003,23
- Thema
-
credit rating
probability forecasts
calibration
Kreditwürdigkeit
Konkurs
Prognoseverfahren
Kreditrisiko
Vergleich
USA
Welt
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Krämer, Walter
Güttler, André
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen
- (wo)
-
Dortmund
- (wann)
-
2003
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Krämer, Walter
- Güttler, André
- Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475 - Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen
Entstanden
- 2003
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