Arbeitspapier

Determinants of lifetime unemployment: a micro data analysis with censored quantile regressions

The empirical literature on unemployment almost exclusively focuses on the duration of distinct unemployment spells. In contrast, we use a large German administrative micro data set for the time span 1975-2004 to investigate individual lifetime unemployment (defined as the total length of all unemployment spells over a 25-year period). This new perspective enables us to answer questions regarding the long-term distribution and determinants of unemployment for West German birth cohorts 1950-1954. We find that lifetime unemployment is highly unevenly distributed and employ censored quantile regressions to show that, for men, pursuing a disadvantageous occupation early in the professional career leads to a significantly higher amount of lifetime unemployment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4751

Classification
Wirtschaft
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Subject
Lifetime unemployment
censored quantile regressions
occupation-specific human capital
Arbeitslosigkeit
Lebenszyklus
Erwerbsverlauf
Qualifikation
Ungelernte Arbeitskräfte
Schätzung
Deutschland

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Schmillen, Achim
Möller, Joachim
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Schmillen, Achim
  • Möller, Joachim
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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