Arbeitspapier
Social Expenditure in New Zealand: Stochastic Projections
This paper presents stochastic projections for 13 categories of social spending in New Zealand over the period 2011-2061. These projections are based on detailed demographic estimates covering fertility, migration and mortality disaggregated by single year of age and gender. Distributional parameters are incorporated for all of the major variables, and are used to build up probabilistic projections for social expenditure as a share of GDP using simulation methods, following Creedy and Scobie (2005). Emphasis is placed on the considerable uncertainty involved in projecting future expenditure levels.
- ISBN
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978-0-478-40301-5
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: New Zealand Treasury Working Paper ; No. 13/06
- Classification
-
Wirtschaft
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
- Subject
-
Population
projections
stochastic simulation
social expenditure
fiscal costs
New Zealand
Öffentliche Sozialausgaben
Bevölkerungsprognose
Simulation
Stochastischer Prozess
Prognoseverfahren
Neuseeland
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Creedy, John
Makale, Kathleen
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
-
New Zealand Government, The Treasury
- (where)
-
Wellington
- (when)
-
2013
- Handle
- Last update
- 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft.
If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Creedy, John
- Makale, Kathleen
- New Zealand Government, The Treasury
Time of origin
- 2013
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