Arbeitspapier

Credit chain and sectoral comovement: A multi-region investigation

This paper empirically examines how sectoral comovements are correlated with trade credit usage in a multi-region setting. Extending the models in Shea (2002) and Raddatz (2010), we develop a framework that captures the impact of trade credit usage on comovement between sectors within an economy and across economies separately. Using the Multi-Regional Input-Output Table developed by the Asian Development Bank, we assemble a dataset consisting of 14 manufacturing industries for 53 economies. We provide empirical evidence that trade credit linkage is an influential channel for both the domestic and cross-border shocks to propagate and create a more profound impact on industries around the globe. We find that the impact of domestic credit chains on sectoral comovement is twice as strong as that of the international ones. We further examine the time trend of this relationship and find that, from 2000 to 2018, the positive relationship between the intensity of trade credit usage and sectoral correlation decreases. We posit that this could be due to more diversified global trade pattern changes during these two decades.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 640

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Institutions and Services: Other
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Subject
trade credit
credit chain
sectoral comovement
input-output table
systemic risk

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Lee, Hsiao-Hui
Yang, S. Alex
Zhang, Yuxuan
Kim, Kijin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
(where)
Manila
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.22617/WPS210391-2
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Lee, Hsiao-Hui
  • Yang, S. Alex
  • Zhang, Yuxuan
  • Kim, Kijin
  • Asian Development Bank (ADB)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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