Arbeitspapier

The triangular model with random coefficients

The triangular model is a very popular way to capture endogeneity. In this model, an outcome is determined by an endogenous regressor, which in turn is caused by an instrument in a first stage. In this paper, we study the triangular model with random coefficients and exogenous regressors in both equations. We establish a profound non-identification result: the joint distribution of the random coefficients is not identified, implying that counterfactual outcomes are also not identified in general. This result continues to hold, if we confine ourselves to the joint distribution of coefficients in the outcome equation or any marginal, except the one on the endogenous regressor. Identification continues to fail, even if we focus on means of random coefficients (implying that IV is generally biased), or let the instrument enter the first stage in a monotonic fashion. Based on this insight, we derive bounds on the joint distribution of random parameters, and suggest an additional restriction that allows to point identify the distribution of random coefficients in the outcome equation. We extend this framework to cover the case where the regressors and instruments have limited support, and analyze semi- and nonparametric sample counterpart estimators in finite and large samples. Finally, we give an application of the framework to consumer demand.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: cemmap working paper ; No. CWP33/15

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Random Coefficients
Endogeneity
Nonparametric
Identification
Radon Transform
Demand

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hoderlein, Stefan
Holzmann, Hajo
Meister, Alexander
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice (cemmap)
(where)
London
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.1920/wp.cem.2015.3315
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hoderlein, Stefan
  • Holzmann, Hajo
  • Meister, Alexander
  • Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice (cemmap)

Time of origin

  • 2015

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