Arbeitspapier

Where have all the young girls gone? Identification of sex selection in India

This paper presents the first estimates of the causal effect of facilities for prenatal sex diagnosis on the sex ratio at birth in India. It conducts a triple difference analysis across cohort, birth order and sex of previous births. Treated births are those that occur after prenatal sex detection becomes available at birth order two or more in families that have not yet had their desired number of sons (or daughters). The three implied control groups are births that occur pre-ultrasound, births of first order and births that occur after the family has achieved its desired sex mix of births. We identify a significant divergence between the treated and control groups. We consider alternative hypotheses and conduct an array of robustness checks to show that the divergence of the sex ratio of the treated group from the normal biological range that characterizes the control groups is on account of female foeticide. We estimate that as many as 0.48 million girls p.a. were selectively aborted during 1995-2005, which is more than the number of girls born in the UK each year. The estimates suggest that Indian families desire two boys and a girl; previous studies often assume that the desire is for at least one boy. The incentive to conduct sex selection is increasing in birth order and family socioeconomic status, both consistent with stronger incentives to sex-select as fertility approaches its target.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 5381

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
Health: Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty: Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
Publicly Provided Goods: General
Thema
sex selection
abortion
sex ratio
son preference
prenatal sex diagnosis
ultrasound
gender
India
triple difference estimator
differences in differences

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bhalotra, Sonia R.
Cochrane, Tom
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2010

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bhalotra, Sonia R.
  • Cochrane, Tom
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2010

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