Arbeitspapier

Macroprudential Policy and the Sovereign-Bank Nexus in the Euro Area

We explore how changes in capital-based macroprudential regulation in the euro area affect the exposure of national banking sectors to domestic government debt, thus strengthening or weakening the sovereign-bank nexus. To do so, we construct a measure of macroprudential policy based on the Macroprudential Policy Evaluation Database (MaPPED) and estimate responses to the unsystematic component of macroprudential policy in panel vector autoregressive models for euro area "core" and "periphery" countries. Our main finding suggests that an unsystematic capital-based macroprudential policy tightening increases banks' exposure to domestic sovereign bonds in the periphery countries and thus deepens the sovereign-bank nexus. By contrast, banks in the core countries expand their loan portfolios, rather than adjusting their domestic sovereign bond holdings, in response to the shock. We show that this result can be tied to the theoretical literature and investigate several transmission channels. Our results are highly robust to changes in the econometric set-up and the macroprudential indicator used.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9342

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Subject
macroprudential policy
euro area
sovereign-bank nexus
panel vector autoregressive model

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hristov, Nikolay
Hülsewig, Oliver
Kolb, Benedikt
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2021

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hristov, Nikolay
  • Hülsewig, Oliver
  • Kolb, Benedikt
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2021

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