Arbeitspapier

Forced Migration and Mortality

We examine the long-run effects of forced migration from Eastern Europe into post-war Germany. Existing evidence suggests that displaced individuals are worse off economically, facing a considerably lower income and a higher unemployment risk than comparable natives even twenty years after being expelled. We extend this literature by investigating the relative performance of forced migrants across the entire life cycle. Using social security records that document the exact date of death and a proxy for pre-retirement lifetime earnings, we estimate a signifi cantly and considerably higher mortality risk among forced migrants compared to native West-Germans. The adverse displacement effect persists throughout the earnings distribution except for the top quintile. Although forced migrants are generally worse off regarding mortality outcomes, those with successful labor market histories seem to overcome the long-lasting negative consequences of flight and expulsion.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CReAM Discussion Paper Series ; No. 09/17

Classification
Wirtschaft
Health Behavior
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Subject
Forced Migration
Di erential Mortality
Lifetime Earnings
Economic History

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bauer, Thomas K.
Giesecke, Matthias
Janisch, Laura M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London
(where)
London
(when)
2017

Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bauer, Thomas K.
  • Giesecke, Matthias
  • Janisch, Laura M.
  • Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London

Time of origin

  • 2017

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