Arbeitspapier

The Endogeneity of the Natural Rate of Growth

The aim of this paper is to estimate the sensitivity of the natural rate of growth to the actual rate of growth for 15 OECD countries over the period 1961 to 1995, on the hypothesis that the natural rate of growth is not exogenously given. To do this we estimate the natural rate of growth and, then, how it changes when the actual growth rate is different from the natural rate. As a side test of the endogeneity hypothesis, we also test for the direction of causality between national output and factor inputs for the same set of countries. Our results support the idea that the natural rate of growth is responsive to the actual rate of growth and bring to the fore the importance of focusing on demand as well as supply for an understanding of growth rate differences between countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Department of Economics Discussion Paper ; No. 9821

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Macroeconomics: Production
General Aggregative Models: General
Subject
Natural Rate of Growth
Actual Rate of Growth
Endogeneity
Causality
Inputs
Output
Neue Wachstumstheorie
Wirtschaftswachstum
Theorie
OECD-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
León-Ledesma, Miguel A.
Thirlwall, A. P.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Kent, Department of Economics
(where)
Canterbury
(when)
1998

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • León-Ledesma, Miguel A.
  • Thirlwall, A. P.
  • University of Kent, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 1998

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