Arbeitspapier

Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals’ inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation. Reading the actual Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement has about the same average effect on expectations as simply being told about the Federal Reserve’s inflation target. Reading a news article about the most recent FOMC meetings results in a forecast revision which is smaller by half. Our results have implications for how central banks should communicate to the broader public.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7464

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Survey Methods; Sampling Methods
Expectations; Speculations
Thema
expectations management
inflation expectations
surveys
communication
randomized controlled trial

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Coibion, Olivier
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
Weber, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Coibion, Olivier
  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Weber, Michael
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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