Arbeitspapier

Asset prices under alternative exchange rate regimes

Motivated by the potential contribution of China's unilateral peg to asset price inflation in the US before the financial crisis of 2007-2009, this paper studies the effect of alternative exchange rate regimes (flexible versus fixed) on the response of asset prices to economic shocks. I use a two-country general equilibrium model with sticky prices and extend earlier work on this topic by making use of a newer method for analyzing portfolio choice in DSGE models. My findings suggest that asset price responses to shocks differ across regimes. In particular, under a fixed regime, which is operated by the foreign country, responses to shocks in the home country are stronger than under a flexible regime. For home asset prices, however, the amplification of shock responses tends to be small. Applied to the US and China, this implies that, under China's prevailing unilateral peg, the Fed's expansionary monetary policy before the crisis resulted in a slightly but not substantially stronger US asset price inflation relative to the one that would have been observed under a floating USD/CNY exchange rate.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 18.01

Classification
Wirtschaft
Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System; Payment Systems
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
Asset Price Inflation
Exchange Rate Regime
Endogenous Portfolio Choice
US-China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Aregger, Nicole
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee
(where)
Gerzensee
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Aregger, Nicole
  • Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee

Time of origin

  • 2018

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