Arbeitspapier
The Inventory Cycle of the German Economy
Using aggregate data, the paper analyzes the importance of inventory investment for German business cycles since 1960. In contrast to U.S. experience, the traditional productionsmoothing/ buffer-stock model is not rejected by empirical evidence. Preliminary national accounts data of inventory investment have particularly poor quality. In order to be able to analyze recent stockbuilding trends in Germany, we propose a composite index aggregating information drawn from monthly production and sales statistics as well as from the Ifo business survey.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2004,09
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- Thema
-
inventory fluctuations
business cycles
data quality
composite index
Germany
Lagerzyklus
Konjunkturindikator
Schätzung
Deutschland
Deutschland
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Knetsch, Thomas A.
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Deutsche Bundesbank
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2004
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Knetsch, Thomas A.
- Deutsche Bundesbank
Entstanden
- 2004