Arbeitspapier

Bayesian analysis of econometric time series models using hybrid integration rules

This paper is concerned with the study of Bayesian inference procedures to commonly used time series models. In particular, the dynamic or state-space models, the time-varying vector autoregressive model and the structural vector autoregressive model are considered in detail. Inference procedures are based on a hybrid integration scheme where state parameters are analytically integrated and hyperparameters are integrated by Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Credibility regions for forecasts and impulse responses are then derived. The procedures are illustrated in real data sets.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 105

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Bayesian
Dynamic
Hyperparameters
Impulse response
Markov chain Monte Carlo
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
Vector autoregressive models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Moreira, Ajax Reynaldo Bello
Gamerman, Dani
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for Applied Economic Research (ipea)
(wo)
Brasília
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Moreira, Ajax Reynaldo Bello
  • Gamerman, Dani
  • Institute for Applied Economic Research (ipea)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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