Arbeitspapier

Interaction of Regional Population and Employment

We investigate the interaction of regional population and employment in a simu1taneousmodel, allowing for interregional commuting. The proposed dynamic specificationdistinguishes between short-run and equilibrium adjustment effects and it encompassesthe lagged-adjustment specification that is standard in the literature. We interpret thelong-run relationship between levels of population and employment as a labour marketequilibrium. The model is estimated on a panel of 1973-2000 annual data for 40regions in The Netherlands, controlling for region and time-specific heterogeneity.Identification of the model is improved by decomposing population growth into netinterregional migration and exogenous natural popu1ation developments. We find thatemployment growth responds quite strongly to deviations from regional labour marketequilibria. Net migration is dominated by housing market developments and in the shortrun on1y slightly affected by increases in regional employment. The main implication isthat equilibrium on regional labour markets is obtained through adjustment ofemployment instead of population. We test and reject the lagged-adjustmentspecification.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 04-083/3

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics: Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population; Neighborhood Characteristics
Labor Demand
Thema
simultaneous model of regional population and employment
migration
regional labour markets
lagged adjustment dynamics
Regionale Bevölkerungsentwicklung
Regionaler Arbeitsmarkt
Binnenwanderung
Anpassung
Niederlande

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Vermeulen, Wouter
van Ommeren, Jos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2004

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Vermeulen, Wouter
  • van Ommeren, Jos
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2004

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