Arbeitspapier
EMU-related news and financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland
We analyse the impact of news on five financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland using a newly constructed data set in a GARCH framework. Macroeconomic shocks (on GDP, inflation rate, current account and trade balance) are constructed as deviations from expected values. EMU-related political and fiscal news is captured as news dummies. Macroeconomic shocks significantly affect short-term interest rates and, to a lesser extent, other financial variables. Political and fiscal news has an impact on long-term bond yields and exchange rates. News displayed prominently in our media sources has a greater impact on financial markets than other news and, in addition, the sources of news themselves matter. We also discover asymmetric effects of news within markets. Finally, using a pooled GARCH model we find that macroeconomic shocks have the strongest impact on financial markets in Hungary, while political news has the largest influence in both Hungary and Poland.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics ; No. 2008,15
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
International Financial Markets
International Finance: General
- Thema
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Financial markets
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
political news
macroeconomic shocks
European Monetary Union
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Büttner, David
Hayo, Bernd
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics
- (wo)
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Marburg
- (wann)
-
2008
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Büttner, David
- Hayo, Bernd
- Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics
Entstanden
- 2008