Arbeitspapier

Estimating retirement behavior with special early retirement offers

We model retirement behavior in Sweden during the 1990ies with focus on voluntary early retirement where there is an option for “buy-outs”. An employer can offer the employees generous pension programs if the employee agrees on early retirement. Earlier studies have neglected such offers, but in doing so, estimates of the individuals’ responses to financial incentives in a retirement decision are likely to be biased upward. We propose an estimation strategy where the retirement decision and the accesses to early retirement pension offers are estimated in a simultaneous equation system, yielding unbiased estimates of the model parameters. We apply the model using detailed Swedish register data. Our results indicate that the marginal effects in retirement probability w.r.t. a change in financial incentives is less pronounced if early retirement pensions are accounted for. Further, we illustrate that the early retirement probabilities would decrease by 10-30 percent if early retirement pension offers were absent.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2006:13

Classification
Wirtschaft
Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-labor Market Discrimination
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Subject
Retirement
early retirement pension
golden handshakes
occupational pension
demand for old workers
Altersgrenze
Ältere Arbeitskräfte
Altersvorsorge
Abfindung
Betriebliche Altersversorgung
Schweden

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Eklöf, Matias
Hallberg, Daniel
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Uppsala University, Department of Economics
(where)
Uppsala
(when)
2006

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-83087
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Eklöf, Matias
  • Hallberg, Daniel
  • Uppsala University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2006

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