Konferenzbeitrag

An axiomatic foundation of entropic preferences under Knightian uncertainty

Decision-making about economy-environment systems is often characterized by deep uncertainties. We provide an axiomatic foundation of preferences over lotteries with known payoffs over known states of nature and unknown probabilities of these outcomes (“Knightian uncertainty"). We elaborate the fundamental idea that preferences over Knightian lotteries can be represented by an entropy function (sensu Lieb and Yngvason 1999) of these lotteries. Based on nine axioms on the preference relation and three assumptions on the set of lotteries, we show that there uniquely (up to linear-affine transformations) exists an additive and extensive real-valued function (\entropy function") that represents uncertainty preferences. It represents non-satiation and (constant) uncertainty aversion. As a concrete functional form, we propose a one-parameter function based on Rényi's (1961) generalized entropy. We show that the parameter captures the degree of uncertainty aversion. We illustrate our preference function with a simple decision problem and relate it to other decision rules under Knightian uncertainty (maximin, maximax, Hurwicz, Laplacian expected utility, minimum regret).

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2018: Digitale Wirtschaft - Session: Theory - Concepts ; No. G04-V2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents: General
Subject
axiomatic foundation
entropy
Knightian uncertainty
non-expected utility
preferences
Rényi-function

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Baumgärtner, Stefan
Engler, John-Oliver
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
(where)
Kiel, Hamburg
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Konferenzbeitrag

Associated

  • Baumgärtner, Stefan
  • Engler, John-Oliver
  • ZBW - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft

Time of origin

  • 2018

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