Arbeitspapier

Why did the average duration of unemployment become so much longer?

This paper examines the causes of the observed increase in the average duration of unemployment over the past thirty years. First we analyze whether changes in the demographic composition of the U.S. labor force, particularly the age and gender composition, can explain this increase. We then consider the contribution of institutional changes, such as the change in the generosity and coverage of unemployment insurance. We find that changes in the composition of the labor force and institutional changes can only partially account for the longer duration of unemployment. We construct a job search model and calibrate it to U.S. data. The results indicate that more than 70 percent of the increase in the duration of unemployment over the past thirty years can be attributed to an increase in within-group wage inequality

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Staff Report ; No. 194

Classification
Wirtschaft
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Arbeitslosigkeit
Dauer
Bevölkerungsstruktur
Arbeitsplatzsuchmodell
Schätzung
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Mukoyama, Toshihiko
Sahin, Aysegül
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
(where)
New York, NY
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Mukoyama, Toshihiko
  • Sahin, Aysegül
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Time of origin

  • 2004

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