Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

On the bilateral trade effects of free trade agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 countries

The expansion of regionalism has spawned an extensive theoretical literature analysing the effects of free trade agreements (FTAs) on trade flows. In this paper we focus on FTAs (also called European agreements) between the European Union (EU-15) and the Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC-4, i.e. Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland and Romania) and model their effects on trade flows by treating the agreement variable as endogenous. Our theoretical framework is the gravity model, and the econometric method used to isolate and eliminate the potential endogeneity bias of the agreement variable is the fixed effect vector decomposition (FEVD) technique. Our estimation results indicate a positive and significant impact of FTAs on trade flows. This finding is robust to the inclusion in the sample of a group of control countries (specifically Belarus, the Russian Federation and the Ukraine) that did not sign an FTA. Besides, we show that trade growth after the FTA agreement with the EU was signed exceeded trade growth of the control group of countries, which did not become members.

On the bilateral trade effects of free trade agreements between the EU-15 and the CEEC-4 countries

Urheber*in: Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert; Sova, Anamaria

Free access - no reuse

Extent
Seite(n): 189-206
Language
Englisch
Notes
Status: Postprint; begutachtet (peer reviewed)

Bibliographic citation
Review of World Economics, 145(2)

Subject
Wirtschaft
Wirtschaftspolitik
Volkswirtschaftslehre
Wirtschaftssektoren

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Rault, Christophe
Sova, Robert
Sova, Anamaria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Deutschland
(when)
2009

DOI
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-203184
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:26 PM CEST

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Object type

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Rault, Christophe
  • Sova, Robert
  • Sova, Anamaria

Time of origin

  • 2009

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