Arbeitspapier

Confidence and career choices: An experiment

Confidence is often seen as the key to success. Empirical evidence about how such beliefs about one's abilities causally map into actions is, however, sparse. In this paper, we experimentally investigate the causal effect of an increase in confidence about one's own ability on two central choices made by workers in the labor market: choosing between jobs with different incentive schemes, and the subsequent choice of how much effort to exert within the job. An exogenous increase in confidence leads to an increase in subjects' propensity to choose payment schemes that depend heavily on ability. This is detrimental for low ability workers. Policy implications are discussed.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper ; No. 169

Classification
Wirtschaft
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Personnel Economics: General
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Subject
Overconfidence
experiment
beliefs
real-effort
career choices

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Barron, Kai
Gravert, Christina
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München und Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190 - Rationality and Competition
(where)
München und Berlin
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Barron, Kai
  • Gravert, Christina
  • Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München und Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Collaborative Research Center Transregio 190 - Rationality and Competition

Time of origin

  • 2019

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