Arbeitspapier

The distributional impact of the crisis in Greece

The severe economic crisis affecting Greece is widely expected to have a significant social impact in terms of greater inequality and increased poverty. We provide an early assessment of whether (and to what extent) this is the case. More specifically, we distinguish between two inter-related factors: on the one hand, the austerity measures taken to reduce fiscal deficits; on the other hand, the wider recession. Using the European tax-benefit model EUROMOD we attempt to quantify the distributional implications of both. With respect to the austerity measures, we focus on the changes introduced in spring 2010 affecting income tax, pension benefits and public sector pay. With respect to the wider recession, we model the effects of rising unemployment and inflation, as well as of lower earnings for self-employed workers and for employees of private firms. In simulating the impact of these changes on the distribution of incomes (and in estimating how the total burden of the crisis is shared across income groups), we take into account tax evasion and benefit non take up. We end by discussing the methodological pitfalls and policy implications of our research.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: EUROMOD Working Paper ; No. EM3/11

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
Social Security and Public Pensions
Thema
austerity
Greece
inequality
poverty
microsimulation
Öffentliche Schulden
Wirtschaftskrise
Soziale Lage
Einkommensverteilung
Armut
Simulation
Griechenland

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Matsaganis, Manos
Leventi, Chrysa
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)
(wo)
Colchester
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Matsaganis, Manos
  • Leventi, Chrysa
  • University of Essex, Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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