Arbeitspapier

Modelling loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area

We model the determinants of loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area. Using the Johansen (1992) methodology, we identify three cointegrating relationships. These relationships are interpreted as the long-run loan demand, investment and loan supply equations. The short-run dynamics of loan demand for the euro area are subsequently modelled by means of a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). We perform a number of specification tests, which suggest that developments in loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area can be reasonably explained by the model. We then use the estimated model to analyse the impact of permanent and temporary shocks to the policy rate on bank lending to nonfinancial corporations.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 989

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Construction and Estimation
Subject
bank credit
cointegration
error-correction model
euro area
non-financial corporations
Kreditgeschäft
Unternehmensfinanzierung
Kointegration
Kointegration
Eurozone

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kok, Christoffer
Marqués-Ibáñez, David
Rossi, Carlotta
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kok, Christoffer
  • Marqués-Ibáñez, David
  • Rossi, Carlotta
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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