Artikel

Comparison of home advantage in European football leagues

Home advantage in sports is important for coaches, players, fans, and commentators and has a key role in sports prediction models. This paper builds on results of recent research that-instead of points gained-used goals scored and goals conceded to describe home advantage. This offers more detailed look at this phenomenon. Presented description understands a home advantage in leagues as a random variable that can be described by a trinomial distribution. The paper uses this description to offer new ways of home advantage comparison-based on the Jeffrey divergence and the test for homogeneity-in different leagues. Next, a heuristic procedure-based on distances between probability descriptions of home advantage in leagues-is developed for identification of leagues with similar home advantage. Publicly available data are used for demonstration of presented procedures in 19 European football leagues between the 2007/2008 and 2016/2017 seasons, and for individual teams of one league in one season. Overall, the highest home advantage rate was identified in the highest Greek football league, and the lowest was identified in the fourth level English football league.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-13 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
home advantage
performance analysis
football
Jeffrey divergence
comparison
test for homogeneity of parallel samples

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Marek, Patrice
Vávra, František
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks8030087
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Marek, Patrice
  • Vávra, František
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2020

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