Arbeitspapier

STIGMA? WHAT STIGMA? A Contribution to the Debate on the Effectiveness of IMF Lending

There is a perception that IMF programmes are not catalytic and instead associated with large capital outflows, higher refinancing costs for sovereigns and adverse movements in stock markets. This has led to concerns that an expectation of adverse effects of IMF programmes may deter countries from asking for an IMF programme when they need one, a form of ‘IMF stigma’. We address these questions using monthly data by estimating how and to which extent adverse market reactions to a programme materialise and how past experience with adverse market reactions affects subsequent IMF programme participation. Our results, derived with a propensity score matching approach, indicate no role for ‘IMF stigma’ stemming from the fear of adverse market movements.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7036

Classification
Wirtschaft
Institutions and the Macroeconomy
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
International Lending and Debt Problems
Subject
capital flows
IMF conditionality
IMF recidivism
global financial safety net
Asian crisis
treasury bill rates

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Scheubel, Beatrice D.
Tafuro, Andrea
Vonessen, Benjamin
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Scheubel, Beatrice D.
  • Tafuro, Andrea
  • Vonessen, Benjamin
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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