Arbeitspapier

Measuring the long-term perception of monetary policy and the term structure

This paper has two objectives.The first is to identify the long-term public perception of monetary policy.The second is to identify the relationship between this perception and long-term bond rates.For German data, the use of a two-factor model of the term structure results in the best forecast of long-term interest rates for the period between January 1975 and January 2003.It also allows us to introduce as the second factor the long-term perception of inflation as a characteristic of the behaviour of monetary authorities.

ISBN
952-462-138-X
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 12/2004

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Subject
expectations hypothesis
monetary policy
changepoints

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Rautureau, Nicolas
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Rautureau, Nicolas
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2004

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