Arbeitspapier
The Impact of Macro News and Central Bank Communication on Emerging European Forex Markets
We employ two-stage empirical strategy to analyze the impact of macroeconomic news and central bank communication on the exchange rates of three Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies against the euro. First we estimate the nominal equilibrium exchange rate based on a monetary model. Second, we employ a high-frequency GARCH model to estimate the effects of the news and communication along with the estimated exchange rate misalignment on exchange rate as well as its volatility. Analysis is performed during the pre-crisis (20042007) and crisis (20082009) periods. CEE currencies react to macroeconomic news during both periods in an intuitive manner that corresponds to exchange rate-related theories. Responsiveness of the currencies to central bank verbal interventions becomes important only during the crisis period, though.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 4288
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Foreign Exchange
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Capitalist Systems: Performance and Prospects
- Thema
-
exchange rate
macroeconomic news
central bank communication
monetary model
Central Europe
European Union
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Egert, Balazs
Kocenda, Even
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
- (wo)
-
Munich
- (wann)
-
2013
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Egert, Balazs
- Kocenda, Even
- Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
Entstanden
- 2013