Arbeitspapier

On the role of financial aid in a default episode

We develop a dynamic stochastic quantitative model of sovereign default featuring fiscal policy, endogenous financial aid and risk-averse foreign lenders, in order to explore the role of financial aid in a default episode. After calibrating the model, we feed output shocks into the model to show that it captures some of the most salient features of the fiscal and debt situation in Argentina during the 1998-2002 period. This underscores the economic nature of the decision to default and the role that official aid could have taken in avoiding such an event. In effect, given the economic challenges endured by Argentina, a full-fledged default took place. In addition, we discuss a number of policy implications associated with financial aid programs aimed at preventing sovereign default episodes.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2018-15

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
International Lending and Debt Problems
Subject
Sovereign default
fiscal policy
financial aid

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cuadra, Gabriel
Ramos-Francia, Manuel
García-Verdú, Santiago
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Banco de México
(where)
Ciudad de México
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cuadra, Gabriel
  • Ramos-Francia, Manuel
  • García-Verdú, Santiago
  • Banco de México

Time of origin

  • 2018

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