Arbeitspapier

Diffusion index models and index proxies: Recent results and new directions

Diffusion index models have received considerable attention from both theoreticians and empirical econometricians in recent years. One reason for this is that datasets with many variables are increasingly becoming available and being utilized for economic modelling, and another is that common factors are often assumed to underlie the co-movements of a set of macroeconomic variables. In this paper we review some recent results in the study of diffusion index models, focusing primarily on advances due to [4, 5] and [1]. We discuss, for example, the construction of factors used in prediction models implemented using diffusion index methodology and approaches that are useful for assessing whether there are observable variables that adequately proxy for estimated factors.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2011-14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
diffusion index
factor
forecast
macroeconometrics
parameter estimation error
proxy
Wirtschaftsindikator
Konjunkturindikator
Prognoseverfahren
Zeitreihenanalyse
Schätztheorie
Theorie
Schätzung
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Armah, Nii Ayi
Swanson, Norman
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Rutgers University, Department of Economics
(where)
New Brunswick, NJ
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Armah, Nii Ayi
  • Swanson, Norman
  • Rutgers University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2011

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