Arbeitspapier

An empirical study on the decoupling movements between corporate bond and CDS spreads

Applied to the European markets, this paper analyzes the price of credit risk on the Credit Default Swap (CDS) and corporate bond markets by comparing the sensitivity of the credit spreads on each market to systematic, idiosyncratic risk factors and liquidity. Our analysis confirms the existence of a long-run relationship between the two markets, and the tendency for CDS markets to lead corporate bond markets in terms of price discovery. We find that the outbreak of the financial turmoil in the summer of 2007 induced a substantial increase in risk aversion and a shift in the pricing of credit risk, with CDS markets becoming more sensitive to systematic risk while cash bond markets priced in more information about liquidity and idiosyncratic risk. Moreover, the financial turbulence also brought about a systematic disconnection between the two markets caused by the significant change in the lead-lag relationship, with CDS markets always leading the cash bond markets.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1085

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
International Financial Markets
Subject
corporate bond spreads
Credit Default Swap Spreads
liquidity
Unternehmensanleihe
Kreditderivat
Kreditversicherung
Kreditrisiko
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Alexopoulou, Ioana
Andersson, Magnus
Georgescu, Oana Maria
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2009

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Alexopoulou, Ioana
  • Andersson, Magnus
  • Georgescu, Oana Maria
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Time of origin

  • 2009

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