Arbeitspapier
Volatility Regimes in Central and Eastern European Countries? Exchange Rates
The choice of an exchange rate arrangement affects the volatility of the exchange rate: higher flexibility goes ahead with increasing volatility and vice versa (Flood and Rose 1995, 1999). We investigate the exchange rate volatility of six Central and Eastern European countries (CEEC) between 1994 and 2004. The analysis merges two approaches, the GARCH-model (Bollerslev 1986) and the Markov Switching Model (Hamilton 1989). We discover switches between high and low volatility regimes which are consistent with policy settings for Hungary, Poland and, less pronounced, the Czech Republic, whereas Romania and Slovakia do not show a clear picture. Slovenia, finally, shows some kind of anticipation of the wide fluctuation margins in ERM2.
- Language
-
Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Series: Diskussionsbeitrag ; No. 333
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
Foreign Exchange
Monetary Systems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System; Payment Systems
- Subject
-
CEEC
exchange rate volatility
regime switching GARCH
Markov switching model
transition economies
- Event
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
-
Frömmel, Michael
- Event
-
Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
- (where)
-
Hannover
- (when)
-
2006
- Handle
- Last update
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET
Data provider
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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Arbeitspapier
Associated
- Frömmel, Michael
- Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
Time of origin
- 2006
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